Sunday 5 April 2020

Milan University Study Estimates 20 Million Italians with Coronavirus - Case Mortality Rate May be in 0.25% to 0.30%, Much Lower than Predictions

A Milan University study estimates up to 20 million Italians are covid-19 “cases” including mildly/asymptomatic persons. So case-fatality ratio may eventually be a maximum of 50,000-60,000 deaths/20 million, or 0.25% to 0.30% mortality rate.

It also looks like the coronavirus pandemic in Italy has peaked.
Via Alex Berenson
1/ I called the Italian peak 12 days ago; in retrospect, that was about 5 days early. In any case, Italy has now peaked; Spain probably has too (remember, deaths LAG). The final Italian toll will probably be in the range of the 25-45,000 excess deaths of the 2016/17 flu season...
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